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Published: Oct, 2016 | Pages:
217 | Publisher: SNS Research
Industry: Telecommunications And Wireless | Report Format: Electronic (PDF)
VoLTE (Voice over LTE) technology allows a voice call to be placed over an LTE network, enabling mobile operators to reduce reliance on legacy circuit-switched networks. Powered by IMS (IP Multimedia Subsystem) architecture, VoLTE brings a host of benefits to operators ranging from the ability to refarm legacy 2G and 3G spectrum to offering their subscribers a differentiated service experience through capabilities such as HD voice and video telephony. First deployed by South Korean operators in 2012, VoLTE is beginning to gain momentum globally. As of Q4’2016, more than 80 mobile operators have commercially launched VoLTE services, and several roaming and interoperability agreements are already in place. SNS Research estimates that VoLTE service revenue will grow at a CAGR of 34% between 2016 and 2020. By the end of 2020, VoLTE subscribers will account for more than $200 Billion in revenue. Although traditional voice services will constitute a major proportion of this figure, nearly 15% of the revenue will be driven by video calling and supplementary services. The “VoLTE (Voice over LTE) Ecosystem: 2016 - 2030 - Opportunities, Challenges, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the VoLTE ecosystem including enabling technologies, key market drivers, challenges, collaborative initiatives, regulatory landscape, standardization, opportunities, operator case studies, future roadmap, value chain, ecosystem player profiles and strategies. The report also presents forecasts for VoLTE smartphone shipments, subscriptions, service revenue and infrastructure investments from 2016 till 2030. The forecasts cover 7 individual submarkets and 6 regions. The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report. Topics Covered The report covers the following topics: - VoLTE ecosystem - Market drivers and barriers - VoLTE infrastructure, devices, roaming and interconnection technology - Case studies of 20 commercial VoLTE deployments - OTT mobile voice and video services - Complimentary technologies including Wi-Fi calling, RCS and WebRTC - MCPTT (Mission Critical Push-to-Talk) voice services - VoLTE services over MVNO networks - Service assurance platforms for VoLTE - Regulatory landscape, collaborative initiatives and standardization - Industry roadmap and value chain - Profiles and strategies of 100 leading ecosystem players including device OEMs, VoLTE solution providers and mobile operators - Strategic recommendations for VoLTE solution providers and mobile operators - Market analysis and forecasts from 2016 till 2030 Forecast Segmentation VoLTE subscription, service revenue and infrastructure revenue forecasts are provided for each of the following submarkets and their subcategories: VoLTE Services - Voice Telephony - Video and Supplementary Services VoLTE Infrastructure - CSCF (Call Session Control Function) Servers - SBCs (Session Border Controllers) - VoLTE Application Servers - Other IMS Elements (HSS, BGCF, MGCF & MRF) - VoLTE Capable PCRF (Policy & Charging Rules Function) Solutions Regional Markets - Asia Pacific - Eastern Europe - Latin & Central America - Middle East & Africa - North America - Western Europe Key Questions Answered The report provides answers to the following key questions: - How big is the VoLTE opportunity? - What trends, challenges and barriers are influencing its growth? - How is the ecosystem evolving by segment and region? - What will the market size be in 2020 and at what rate will it grow? - Which regions and countries will see the highest percentage of growth? - How will VoLTE capable smartphone shipments grow over time? - Who are the key market players and what are their strategies? - How can VoLTE help operators in reducing the flow of voice subscribers to OTT application providers? - What are the prospects of Wi-Fi calling, RCS and WebRTC? - What much will operators invest in VoLTE service assurance solutions? - How can mobile operators and MVNOs capitalize on VoLTE to drive revenue growth? - How can VoLTE help operators in refarming their 2G and 3G spectrum assets? - What is the status of international roaming and VoLTE-to-VoLTE interconnection agreements? - What strategies should VoLTE solution providers and mobile operators adopt to remain competitive? Key Findings The report has the following key findings: - By 2020, SNS Research estimates that VoLTE services will account for over $200 Billion in annual service revenue, as mobile operators remain committed to VoLTE as the long term solution to secure a fully native IP-based telephony experience. - As the transition to VoLTE accelerates, mobile operators have already begun shutting down their legacy networks in a bid to reallocate additional spectrum to their LTE networks. - Japan and South Korea have already shut down their 2G networks, and multiple operators in other parts of the world, including the United States, are in the processing of switching off 2G services. Some operators, such as Telenor Norway, are seeking the closure of their 3G networks as early as 2020. - Nearly all VoLTE operators are integrating their VoLTE services with Wi-Fi calling in a bid to offer voice services in areas where their licensed spectrum coverage is limited. - The vendor ecosystem is continuing to consolidate with several acquisitions such as Sonus Networks’ recent takeover of IP communications specialist Taqua. List of Companies Mentioned 3GPP (3rd Generation Partnership Project) Accedian Networks Affirmed Networks Alcatel-Lucent ALEPO Altair Semiconductor Amdocs Anite Anritsu Corporation Apple Aptilo Networks Aricent Ascom Astellia Asus (ASUSTeK Computer) AT&T AT&T Mobility Belgacom BICS Broadcom BroadSoft BT Group CCN (Cirrus Core Networks) CellMining Cellwize CENX CEVA China Mobile China Mobile Hong Kong Cirpack Cisco Systems D2 Technologies Dell Technologies Dialogic Corporation DigiTalk DigitalRoute DT (Deutsche Telekom) Du (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company) Ecrio EE Empirix Ericsson Etisalat ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute) EXFO F5 Networks Fujitsu GCT Semiconductor GENBAND Gigamon GL Communications Google GSMA Hitachi HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise) HTC Corporation Huawei iBasis IBM IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) Imagination Technologies IMSWorkX InfoVista Intel Corporation InterDigital Interop Technologies Iskratel Italtel ITU (International Telecommunications Union) Ixia Jibe Mobile KDDI Corporation Keysight Technologies Kineto Wireless KISDI (Korea Information Society Development Institute) KPN KT Corporation Lenovo LG Electronics LG Uplus Mavenir Systems Metaswitch Networks MetroPCS Communications Mitel Networks Corporation Mobileum Monolith Software Motorola Mobility Mushroom Networks MYCOM OSI Napatech NEC Corporation NetScout Systems Newfield Wireless NewNet Communication Technologies NewPace Technology Development Nexus Telecom Nokia Networks NTT DoCoMo NXP Semiconductors NXP Software OpenCloud Openet Optulink Oracle Communications Oracle Corporation Orange Orange Romania Pantech Polystar Qualcomm Quortus RADCOM Radisys Corporation Redknee Solutions Reliance Industries Reliance Jio Infocomm Rogers Communications Rohde & Schwarz Samsung Electronics Sandvine Sansay Sequans Communications Sharp Corporation SIGOS Singtel Group SK Telecom Skype SmarTone SoftBank Group Sonus Networks Sony Mobile Communications Spirent Communications SPIRIT DSP Spreadtrum Communications Sprint Corporation Summit Tech Swisscom Syniverse SysMech Systemics-PAB Taqua Tektronix Communications Telefónica Germany Telefónica Group Telefónica UK Telstra Three Hong Kong T-Mobile Czech Republic T-Mobile USA TNS (Transaction Network Services) TTA (Telecommunications Technology Association of Korea) Verizon Communications Verizon Wireless Viavi Solutions VMware Vodafone Czech Republic Vodafone Germany Vodafone Group Vodafone Hutchison Australia Vodafone Italy Vodafone Portugal Vodafone Romania Vodafone Spain Vodafone Turkey Vodafone UK VoiceAge Corporation Voipfuture W3C (World Wide Web Consortium) WBA (Wireless Broadband Alliance) Wi-Fi Alliance WIT Software x-Mobility ZTE
Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction 13 1.1 Executive Summary 13 1.2 Topics Covered 15 1.3 Forecast Segmentation 16 1.4 Key Questions Answered 17 1.5 Key Findings 18 1.6 Methodology 19 1.7 Target Audience 20 1.8 Companies & Organizations Mentioned 21 Chapter 2: An Overview of VoLTE 24 2.1 What is VoLTE? 24 2.2 Architectural Evolution of VoLTE 24 2.2.1 CSFB (Circuit-Switched Fallback): The First Step Towards VoLTE 24 2.2.2 The Push From CDMA Operators 25 2.2.3 Towards an IMS Based VoLTE Solution 26 2.2.4 SRVCC (Single Radio Voice Call Continuity) 27 2.2.5 Integrating Video Telephony 28 2.3 Key Enabling Technologies 28 2.3.1 VoLTE Infrastructure 28 2.3.1.1 IMS Core: CSCF, HSS, BGCF & MGCF 29 2.3.1.2 VoLTE Application Servers 30 2.3.1.3 SBC (Session Border Controller) 30 2.3.1.4 MRF (Media Resource Function) 30 2.3.1.5 PCRF (Policy and Charging Rules Function) 30 2.3.2 VoLTE Devices 31 2.3.3 Roaming & Interconnection Technology 32 2.3.3.1 LBO (Local Breakout) 32 2.3.3.2 S8HR (S8 Home Routing) 32 2.4 Market Growth Drivers 33 2.4.1 Spectral Efficiency & Cost Reduction 33 2.4.2 Enabling HD Voice, Video Calling & Rich IP Communications 33 2.4.3 Improved Battery Life 34 2.4.4 Integration with Wi-Fi: Enhanced Indoor Voice Coverage 34 2.4.5 Bundling Voice with Other Services 34 2.4.6 Fighting the OTT Threat 35 2.5 Market Barriers 35 2.5.1 Initial Lack of Compatible Devices 35 2.5.2 Roaming & Interconnect Issues 36 2.5.3 Limited Revenue Potential 36 2.5.4 Service Assurance Challenges 36 Chapter 3: Collaboration, Standardization & Regulatory Landscape 38 3.1 3GPP (3rd Generation Partnership Project) 38 3.1.1 Release 8 38 3.1.2 Release 9 38 3.1.3 Release 10 39 3.1.4 Release 11 39 3.1.5 Release 12, 13 & Beyond 39 3.2 GSMA 40 3.2.1 Feature Requirements 40 3.2.1.1 IR.92: IMS Profile for Voice and SMS 40 3.2.1.2 IR.94: IMS Profile for Conversational Video Service 41 3.2.2 Roaming, Interworking & Other Guidelines 41 3.2.2.1 IR.64: IMS Service Centralization & Continuity Guidelines 41 3.2.2.2 IR.65: IMS Roaming & Interworking Guidelines 41 3.2.2.3 IR.88: LTE Roaming Guidelines 41 3.3 VoLTE Interworking Technology Consultation Group, Korea 42 Chapter 4: VoLTE Deployment Case Studies 43 4.1 AT&T 43 4.1.1 Service Launch Strategy 43 4.1.2 Vendor Selection 43 4.1.3 Future Prospects 43 4.2 China Mobile 45 4.2.1 Service Launch Strategy 45 4.2.2 Vendor Selection 45 4.2.3 Future Prospects 46 4.3 DT (Deutsche Telekom) 47 4.3.1 Service Launch Strategy 47 4.3.2 Vendor Selection 47 4.3.3 Future Prospects 48 4.4 Du (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company) 49 4.4.1 Service Launch Strategy 49 4.4.2 Vendor Selection 49 4.4.3 Future Prospects 49 4.5 EE 50 4.5.1 Service Launch Strategy 50 4.5.2 Vendor Selection 50 4.5.3 Future Prospects 50 4.6 KDDI Corporation 51 4.6.1 Service Launch Strategy 51 4.6.2 Vendor Selection 51 4.6.3 Future Prospects 51 4.7 KT Corporation 52 4.7.1 Service Launch Strategy 52 4.7.2 Vendor Selection 52 4.7.3 Future Prospects 52 4.8 LG Uplus 54 4.8.1 Service Launch Strategy 54 4.8.2 Vendor Selection 54 4.8.3 Future Prospects 54 4.9 NTT DoCoMo 55 4.9.1 Service Launch Strategy 55 4.9.2 Vendor Selection 55 4.9.3 Future Prospects 55 4.10 Orange 57 4.10.1 Service Launch Strategy 57 4.10.2 Vendor Selection 57 4.10.3 Future Prospects 57 4.11 Reliance Jio Infocomm 59 4.11.1 Service Launch Strategy 59 4.11.2 Vendor Selection 59 4.11.3 Future Prospects 59 4.12 Rogers Communications 61 4.12.1 Service Launch Strategy 61 4.12.2 Vendor Selection 61 4.12.3 Future Prospects 61 4.13 Singtel Group 62 4.13.1 Service Launch Strategy 62 4.13.2 Vendor Selection 62 4.13.3 Future Prospects 62 4.14 SK Telecom 64 4.14.1 Service Launch Strategy 64 4.14.2 Vendor Selection 64 4.14.3 Future Prospects 64 4.15 SoftBank Group 66 4.15.1 Service Launch Strategy 66 4.15.2 Vendor Selection 66 4.15.3 Future Prospects 67 4.16 Swisscom 68 4.16.1 Service Launch Strategy 68 4.16.2 Vendor Selection 68 4.16.3 Future Prospects 68 4.17 Telefónica Group 69 4.17.1 Service Launch Strategy 69 4.17.2 Vendor Selection 69 4.17.3 Future Prospects 69 4.18 Telstra 71 4.18.1 Service Launch Strategy 71 4.18.2 Vendor Selection 71 4.18.3 Future Prospects 71 4.19 Verizon Communications 72 4.19.1 Service Launch Strategy 72 4.19.2 Vendor Selection 72 4.19.3 Future Prospects 73 4.20 Vodafone Group 74 4.20.1 Service Launch Strategy 74 4.20.2 Vendor Selection 74 4.20.3 Future Prospects 75 Chapter 5: VoLTE Industry Roadmap & Value Chain 76 5.1 Industry Roadmap 76 5.1.1 2016 – 2020: Large Scale VoLTE Rollouts 76 5.1.2 2020 – 2025: Building New Services on VoLTE Architecture 77 5.1.3 2025 – 2030: Continued Investments with 5G Rollouts 77 5.2 Value Chain 78 5.2.1 Enabling Technology Providers 78 5.2.2 VoLTE & IMS Infrastructure Suppliers 79 5.2.3 VoLTE Device OEMs 79 5.2.4 Roaming, Billing & Supplementary Service Providers 79 5.2.5 Mobile Operators 79 5.2.6 Test, Measurement & Performance Specialists 80 Chapter 6: Key Market Players 81 6.1 Accedian Networks 81 6.2 Affirmed Networks 82 6.3 ALEPO 83 6.4 Altair Semiconductor 84 6.5 Amdocs 85 6.6 Anritsu Corporation 86 6.7 Anritsu Corporation 87 6.8 Apple 88 6.9 Aptilo Networks 89 6.10 Aricent 90 6.11 Astellia 91 6.12 Asus (ASUSTeK Computer) 92 6.13 BICS 93 6.14 Broadcom 94 6.15 BroadSoft 95 6.16 BT Group 96 6.17 CCN (Cirrus Core Networks) 97 6.18 CellMining 98 6.19 Cellwize 99 6.20 CENX 100 6.21 CEVA 101 6.22 Cirpack 102 6.23 Cisco Systems 103 6.24 D2 Technologies 104 6.25 Dialogic Corporation 105 6.26 DigitalRoute 106 6.27 Ecrio 107 6.28 Empirix 108 6.29 Ericsson 109 6.30 EXFO 110 6.31 F5 Networks 111 6.32 Fujitsu 112 6.33 GCT Semiconductor 113 6.34 GENBAND 114 6.35 Gigamon 115 6.36 GL Communications 116 6.37 Hitachi 117 6.38 HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise) 118 6.39 HTC Corporation 119 6.40 Huawei 120 6.41 iBasis 121 6.42 IBM 122 6.43 Imagination Technologies 123 6.44 IMSWorkX 124 6.45 InfoVista 125 6.46 Intel Corporation 126 6.47 InterDigital 127 6.48 Interop Technologies 128 6.49 Iskratel 129 6.50 Italtel 130 6.51 Ixia 131 6.52 Keysight Technologies 132 6.53 Lenovo 133 6.54 LG Electronics 134 6.55 Metaswitch Networks 135 6.56 Mitel Networks Corporation 136 6.57 Mobileum 137 6.58 Monolith Software 138 6.59 Mushroom Networks 139 6.60 MYCOM OSI 140 6.61 Napatech 141 6.62 NEC Corporation 142 6.63 NetScout Systems 143 6.64 NewNet Communication Technologies 144 6.65 Nexus Telecom 145 6.66 Nokia Networks 146 6.67 NXP Semiconductors 147 6.68 OpenCloud 148 6.69 Openet 149 6.70 Optulink 150 6.71 Oracle Communications 151 6.72 Pantech 152 6.73 Polystar 153 6.74 Qualcomm 154 6.75 Quortus 155 6.76 RADCOM 156 6.77 Radisys Corporation 157 6.78 Redknee Solutions 158 6.79 Rohde & Schwarz 159 6.80 Samsung Electronics 160 6.81 Sandvine 161 6.82 Sansay 162 6.83 Sequans Communications 163 6.84 Sharp Corporation 164 6.85 SIGOS 165 6.86 Sonus Networks 166 6.87 Sony Mobile Communications 168 6.88 Spirent Communications 169 6.89 SPIRIT DSP 171 6.90 Spreadtrum Communications 172 6.91 Summit Tech 173 6.92 Syniverse 174 6.93 SysMech 175 6.94 TNS (Transaction Network Services) 176 6.95 Viavi Solutions 177 6.96 VMware 178 6.97 VoiceAge Corporation 179 6.98 Voipfuture 180 6.99 WIT Software 181 6.100 ZTE 182 Chapter 7: Market Analysis & Forecasts 183 7.1 Global Outlook of VoLTE 183 7.2 VoLTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue 183 7.2.1 VoLTE Subscriptions 183 7.2.2 VoLTE Service Revenue 184 7.2.3 Segmentation by Application 184 7.2.4 Voice Telephony 185 7.2.5 Video & Supplementary Services 185 7.3 VoLTE Infrastructure 186 7.3.1 Segmentation by Submarket 186 7.3.2 CSCF Servers 187 7.3.3 SBCs 187 7.3.4 VoLTE Application Servers 188 7.3.5 Other IMS Elements (HSS, BGCF, MGCF & MRF) 188 7.3.6 VoLTE Capable PCRF Solutions 189 7.4 Segmentation by Region 190 7.4.1 Asia Pacific 191 7.4.2 Eastern Europe 193 7.4.3 Latin & Central America 194 7.4.4 Middle East & Africa 196 7.4.5 North America 197 7.4.6 Western Europe 199 Chapter 8: Conclusion, Key Trends & Strategic Recommendations 201 8.1 Why is the Market Poised to Grow? 201 8.2 Competitive Industry Landscape: Acquisitions, Alliances & Consolidation 201 8.3 Geographic Outlook: Which Countries Offer the Highest Growth Potential? 202 8.4 Monetization: Can VoLTE Drive Revenue Growth? 203 8.5 Operator Branded OTT Services: Implications for VoLTE 203 8.6 Virtualization: Moving VoLTE to the Cloud 204 8.7 Growing Investments in VoLTE Service Assurance 205 8.8 Prospects of the EVS (Enhanced Voice Services) Codec 206 8.9 Convergence with Wi-Fi Calling 208 8.9.1 Moving Towards IMS-Based Wi-Fi Calling Services 208 8.9.2 Future Prospects 209 8.10 Opportunities for MVNOs 210 8.10.1 Enabling Service Differentiation 210 8.10.2 Growing MVNE (Mobile Virtual Network Enabler) Investments in VoLTE Infrastructure 211 8.10.3 How Big is the VoLTE Service Revenue Opportunity for MVNOS? 212 8.11 WebRTC: Friend or Foe? 213 8.12 Status of RCS Adoption 213 8.13 Prospects of Roaming and Interconnected VoLTE Services 215 8.14 MCPTT over VoLTE: Enabling Critical Communications 215 8.15 Strategic Recommendations 216 8.15.1 VoLTE Solution Providers 216 8.15.2 Mobile Operators & MVNOs 217
List of Figures Figure 1: The CSFB Mechanism for LTE 26 Figure 2: VoLTE via IMS 27 Figure 3: SRVCC Network Architecture 28 Figure 4: Video Telephony with VoLTE 29 Figure 5: Global VoLTE Capable Smartphone Shipments: 2016 - 2030 (Millions of Units) 32 Figure 6: VoLTE Industry Roadmap 77 Figure 7: VoLTE Value Chain 79 Figure 8: Global VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 184 Figure 9: Global VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 185 Figure 10: Global VoLTE Service Revenue by Application: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 185 Figure 11: Global VoLTE Based Voice Telephony Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 186 Figure 12: Global VoLTE Based Video & Supplementary Applications Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 186 Figure 13: Global VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 187 Figure 14: Global VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue by Submarket: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 187 Figure 15: Global CSCF Server Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 188 Figure 16: Global SBC Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 188 Figure 17: Global VoLTE Application Server Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 189 Figure 18: Global Other IMS Elements (HSS, BGCF, MGCF & MRF) Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 189 Figure 19: Global VoLTE Capable PCRF Solution Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 190 Figure 20: VoLTE Subscriptions by Region: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 191 Figure 21: VoLTE Service Revenue by Region: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 191 Figure 22: VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue by Region: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 192 Figure 23: Asia Pacific VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 192 Figure 24: Asia Pacific VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 193 Figure 25: Asia Pacific VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 193 Figure 26: Eastern Europe VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 194 Figure 27: Eastern Europe VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 194 Figure 28: Eastern Europe VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 195 Figure 29: Latin & Central America VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 195 Figure 30: Latin & Central America VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 196 Figure 31: Latin & Central America VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 196 Figure 32: Middle East & Africa VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 197 Figure 33: Middle East & Africa VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 197 Figure 34: Middle East & Africa VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 198 Figure 35: North America VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 198 Figure 36: North America VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 199 Figure 37: North America VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 199 Figure 38: Western Europe VoLTE Subscriptions: 2016 - 2030 (Millions) 200 Figure 39: Western Europe VoLTE Service Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 200 Figure 40: Western Europe VoLTE Infrastructure Revenue: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 201 Figure 41: Global Spending on VoLTE Service Assurance Solutions: 2016 - 2030 ($ Million) 206 Figure 42: Audio Bandwidth Comparison between EVS and Legacy Codecs 208 Figure 43: Wi-Fi Calling Scenarios 209 Figure 44: IMS-based Wi-Fi Calling Service Architecture 210 Figure 45: Managed IMS Core/IP Services for MVNOs 212 Figure 46: Global VoLTE Service Revenue over MVNO Networks: 2016 - 2030 ($ Billion) 213 Figure 47: RCS Business Model 215
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