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Published: Mar, 2019 | Pages:
210 | Publisher: WinterGreen Research
Industry: Automotive | Report Format: Electronic (PDF)
The vendors in the Personal Electric Vehicle EV Cars industry have invested in high-quality technology and processes to develop leading edge electric vehicle capability a being implemented quickly so as to benefit from first mover advantage in the market. Personal Electric Vehicle EV Car manufacture promises to replace gasoline engine cars by 2025. Electric cars leverage new battery technology to achieve better cost benefit ratios. Electric vehicles provide a positive ROI to owners because the cost of recharging batteries is significantly less than the cost of gasoline for similar mileage driven. Electric car markets bring lower costs and higher value when battery technology is modernized. As lithium ion battery cathodes undergo rapid improvement, the lower cost batteries make electric vehicles less expensive than gas powered vehicles. Electric cars cost less than ICE engine cars, finally. Electric cars do require battery replacement after 5 years. Global warming has become a serious issue. Consumers have become aware of the need to embrace renewable energy programs directly. The UK is in danger of completely running out of fresh water in 10 years. The high school students are protesting global warming every Friday - worldwide. Nebraska farmers and Iowa voters are fearful about global warming. Consumers are beginning to demand electric vehicles. Personal Electric Vehicle EV Cars that depend on efficient lithium ion batteries have finally begun to tow the mark with regard to addressing global warming. Electric cars leverage new battery technology to achieve better cost benefit ratios. Electric car markets bring lower costs and higher value when battery technology is modernized. As lithium ion battery cathodes undergo rapid improvement, the lower cost batteries make electric vehicles less expensive than gas powered vehicles. Electric vehicles provide a positive ROI to owners because recharging batteries is significantly less than the cost of gasoline for similar mileage driven. Electric cars cost less than ICE engine cars, finally. Electric cars do require battery replacement after 5 years. Over the last several years, electric vehicles have entered the mainstream, and the market segment is expected to grow creating radical changes in personal transport. How the segment unfolds is still to be decided, but all signs point to a situation creating 36% of the cars on the road are electric by 2025. By that time, all of the cars manufactured will be electric. Automakers and suppliers are dramatically expanding electrified offerings to achieve gains in fuel efficiency, reductions in emissions, and modernization of the model offerings. As market participants to establish positions in the electric personal vehicle offerings. the leadership positions are shifting. With the advent of Tesla selling cars over the internet, even the distribution channels threaten to shift dramatically. Industry leadership by Tesla has been achieved by making significant investment in manufacturing and battery infrastructure to facilitate the shift to a next generation of automotive transport. Automotive manufacturers and suppliers are making a concerted shift away from the internal combustion engine to fully electric vehicles. To retain profitability, companies are improving the efficiency of electric vehicles. The vendors are working to reduce the cost of core components, particularly the traction motors and power electronics. Vehicles require electric drive motors, generators, and power electronics for alternating current-direct current (AC-DC) conversion as well as DC voltage conversion to support multiple vehicle subsystems. The global electric vehicle market at $39.8 billion in 2018 is projected to reach $1.5 trillion by 2025. Units sales are anticipated to reach 97 million vehicles worldwide by 2025. EV sales worldwide at 2.7 million vehicles in 2018 will go to 11 million in 2020. Companies Profiled Market Leaders • Tesla • GM • Toyota Prius Prime • BMW • Honda • Nissan LEAF • VW • Renault Zoe • BMW • Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV • Smart Fortwo ED • Hyundai Ioniq Electric • Volvo XC60 T8 PHEV • Mercedes GLC350e • Kia Soul EV • BYD • BAIC • Zhidou • Geely • Emgrand • Kandi • JMC • JAC • Zotye • Chery • Ford Fusion Energi Key Topics • Personal Electric Vehicle EV Cars • New 811 battery technology • EV Battery Improvement • Electric Vehicle Car Segment • Market Forecasts • Small Electric Vehicle Car • Mid-Size Electric Vehicle Car • Luxury Electric Vehicle Car • TaaS Shipments • Electric Cars Market Driving Forces • Motor Controller • Electric Engine • Other Components of an Electric Engine • EV Economies of Scale • Chinese EV Market • US EV Market • European EV Market • German EV Market • UK EV Market • Japanese EV Market • Regional EV Markets • Renewable energy generation
Table of Contents Electric Cars (EVs): Market Shares, Market Strategy, and Market Forecasts, 2019 to 2025 1 Electric Cars Executive Summary 17 Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 17 Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 18 Personal Electric Automobiles, Market Shares 20 Personal Electric Automobiles, Market and Market Forecast 21 1. Electric Cars Market Definition and Market Dynamics 24 1.1 Move to Electric Vehicles 24 1.1.1 Market Leaders General Motors And Toyota Stumbling In Electric Vehicle Market 25 1.2 Urban Shift to Upgraded Mega Cities 25 1.2.1 Electric Vehicle Regional Markets 26 1.3 Battery 27 1.3.1 Electric Vehicle Lithium-ion EV Battery Cathode Materials 27 1.3.2 Tesla Battery 28 1.3.3 Cobalt 29 1.4 EV Cost of Operation 32 1.4.1 EV Fuel Efficiency 32 1.4.2 Government Incentives for Electric Vehicles 33 1.4.3 Military Spending 0n Artificial Intelligence (AI) 33 2. Electric Cars Market Shares and Market Forecasts 35 2.1 Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 35 2.1.1 Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 35 2.1.2 Motor Controller 37 2.1.3 Electric Engine 38 2.1.4 Other Components of an Electric Engine 38 2.1.5 EV Economies of Scale 39 2.2 Electric Cars Market Shares 39 2.2.1 Electric Car Market Participants 41 2.2.2 Electric Car Batteries 43 2.3 Electric Car Market Forecasts 44 2.3.1 Electric Vehicle Car Segment Market Forecasts, Small, Mid-Size, Luxury. And TaaS, Shipments 47 2.3.2 Trucks and Busses Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts 50 2.4 Electric Cars Regional Market Analysis 53 2.4.2 Cars and Light Truck, Trucks and Busses Vehicle and Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, 53 2.4.3 Cars and Light Truck Electric Vehicle Regional Segment Market Forecasts 54 2.4.4 Electric Car Market Regional Segments, US, Europe, China, Japan, RoW 56 2.4.5 US 58 2.4.6 United States: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 65 2.4.7 Canadian Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars67 2.4.8 Brazil: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 68 2.4.9 Americas 68 2.4.10 Europe 69 2.4.11 European Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 76 2.4.12 Germany: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 79 2.4.13 Scandinavia: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 82 2.4.14 UK: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 85 2.4.15 Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, France, 2019-2025 88 2.4.16 Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Spain, 2019-2025 91 2.4.17 Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Netherlands, 2019-2025 94 2.4.18 Chinese EV Market 97 2.4.19 China Positioned to Be An All Electric Vehicle Ecosystem 101 2.4.20 China EV Market Forecast 105 2.4.21 Japan 112 2.4.22 India 116 2.4.23 South Korea 119 2.4.24 Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, South Korea 119 3. Electric Cars: Product Description 120 3.1 Electric Vehicles 120 3.1.1 Nations and Cities Globally Moving to Electric Vehicles 121 3.1.2 California Seeks to Ban Gas Burning Vehicles 121 3.1.3 Activity worldwide for Full Phase-Out of Diesel And Gasoline Engines 122 3.2 EV Battery Manufacturing 123 3.3 Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Spending by Manufacturers 125 3.3.1 Transport as a Service (TaaS) 128 3.3.2 Charging Stations 130 4. Electric Cars, Vehicles, Research, and Technology 131 4.1 Chinese Electric Vehicles 131 4.2 Electric Car Features 135 4.3 Solid State Battery Technology 138 4.4 Battery Charging 139 4.4.1 Battery Technology Assisted by Heated Seats and Heated Steering Wheel 140 4.4.2 Battery Capacity of an EV 140 4.5 Power Supply Information Center 140 4.6 Lithium Ion Batteries 143 5. Electric Cars Trucks Company Profiles 145 5.1 Aston Martin 145 5.2 BAIC 145 5.2.1 BAIC Corporate Structure 146 5.3 BYD 150 5.3.1 BYD Co. Ltd. Rechargeable Batteries 153 5.4 BMW 153 5.5 Chrysler 154 5.6 Dongfeng 155 5.7 Daimler 155 5.8 Energica Motor Company S.P.A., 156 5.9 FAW Group 156 5.9.1 FAW-Volkswagen 156 5.10 Ford 157 5.11 JLR 157 5.12 Geely 158 5.13 GM 158 5.13.1 GM Bolt EV 159 5.13.2 GM Volt EV 160 5.13.3 Cadillac 160 5.13.4 GM Tax credit 160 5.13.5 SAIC General Motors Automotive / China Joint Ventures JVs 161 5.14 Honda 162 5.15 NIO 163 5.15.1 NIO in China 163 5.16 Nissan 164 5.16.1 Renault Nissan & Mitsubishi Alliance 164 5.17 Panasonic 166 5.18 Porsche 167 5.19 SAIC Motor 167 5.19.1 Joint Ventures SAIC-VW, SAIC-GM, and SAIC-GM-Wuling 168 5.19.2 SAIC Motor New Energy Vehicles (NEV) 170 5.19.3 GM Financial (GMF), a subsidiary of General Motors, and SAIC have established SAIC-GMF Leasing Co 170 5.20 Tesla 171 5.20.1 Tesla Revenue 172 5.20.2 Tesla Gigafactory 1 173 5.20.3 Tesla Gigafactory 2 174 5.20.4 Gigafactory 2 Tesla Solar Energy Systems, Renewable Energy Storage, And Energy Storage Products 174 5.20.5 Tesla Gigafactory 3 175 5.21 Thunder Power 175 5.22 Toyota 177 5.22.1 Toyota Prius Prime 178 5.22.2 Toyota and Panasonic 179 5.23 Volkswagen 179 5.23.1 Volkswagen E-Golf 179 5.23.2 Volkswagen DC Fast Charge 179 5.24 Volvo 181 5.25 Other Electric Car and Light Truck Companies 182 WinterGreen Research, 207 WinterGreen Research Methodology 208
List of Figures Figure 1. Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 19 Figure 2. Personal Electric Automobile Market Shares, Dollars, Worldwide, 2018 20 Figure 3. Personal Electric Automobiles, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, 2012-2025 21 Figure 4. Cathode Material 34.7% of Battery 27 Figure 5. Cobalt 30 Figure 6. Metric Tons of Cobalt Produced in 2016 31 Figure 7. Electric Cars Market Driving Forces 36 Figure 8. Key Components of an Electric EV Drive System 37 Figure 9. Personal Electric Automobile Market Shares, Dollars, Worldwide, 2018 40 Figure 10. Personal Electric Automobiles, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, 2012-2025 45 Figure 11. Personal Electric Automobiles, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, 2012-2025 46 Figure 12. Cars and Light Truck Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts, Units and Percent, Worldwide, 2019 – 2025 47 Figure 13. Cars and Light Truck Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Small, Mid Size, Luxury. And TaaS, Units, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 48 Figure 14. Cars Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Small, Mid-Size, Luxury. And TaaS, Shipments, Dollars and $ per Unit, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 49 Figure 15. Trucks and Busses Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts, Shipments, Units, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 50 Figure 16. Trucks and Busses Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Light Duty Trucks, Mid Size Trucks, Large Trucks, Busses, Shipments, Units, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 51 Figure 17. Trucks and Busses Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Light Duty Trucks, Mid Size Trucks, Large Trucks, Busses, Shipments, Dollars, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 52 Figure 18. Cars and Light Truck, Trucks and Busses Vehicle and Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Shipments, Percent and Units, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 53 Figure 19. Cars and Light Truck Electric Vehicle Regional Segment Market Forecasts, China, US, Europe, and Rest of World Shipments, Percent Units, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 54 Figure 20. US EV Tax Credit 55 Figure 21. Electric Car Market Regional Segments, US, Europe, China, Japan, RoW, Dollars and Units, Worldwide, 2018 56 Figure 22. Electric Car (EV) Regional Market Segments, Dollars, 2018 58 Figure 23. Personal Electric Car (EV), Dollars, Market Shares, United States, 2018 59 Figure 24. US Electric Car Market Shares, Dollars, , 2018 60 Figure 25. Personal Electric Car (EV), Units, Market Shares, United States, 2018 61 Figure 26. US Electric Car Market Shares, Units, 2018 62 Figure 27. US Electric Car Units and Dollar Percent Comparison, 2018 63 Figure 28. US Electric Car Vendor Descriptions, Tesla, GM, Toyota Prius Prime, BMW, Honda, Nissan Leaf, Ford Fusion Energi, 2018 64 Figure 29. United States: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 65 Figure 30. United States: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 66 Figure 31. United States: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 67 Figure 32. Canadian Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars67 Figure 33. Brazil: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 68 Figure 34. Personal Electric Vehicles Regional Analysis, Dollars and Percent, 2012 - 2025 68 Figure 35. Personal Electric Car (EV), Dollars, Market Shares, Europe, 2018 69 Figure 36. European Electric Car Market Shares, Dollars, 2018 and 2017 70 Figure 37. Personal Electric Car (EV), Units, Market Shares, Europe, 2018 71 Figure 38. European Electric Car Market Shares, Units, 2018 72 Figure 39. European Car Registrations First Half 2018 73 Figure 40. European Electric Vehicle Companies 75 Figure 41. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Europe, 2019-2025 76 Figure 42. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, Europe, 2019-2025 77 Figure 43. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, Europe, 2019-2025 78 Figure 44. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Germany, 2019-2025 79 Figure 45. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, German, 2019-2025 80 Figure 46. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units, and % Growth, German, 2019-2025 81 Figure 47. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Scandinavia, 2019-2025 82 Figure 48. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, Scandinavia, 2019-2025 83 Figure 49. Scandinavia: Personal Electric Vehicle Market Forecast Units and Dollars 84 Figure 50. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, UK, 2019-2025 85 Figure 51. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, UK, 2019-2025 86 Figure 52. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units, and % Growth, UK, 2019-2025 87 Figure 53. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, France, 2019-2025 88 Figure 54. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, France, 2019-2025 89 Figure 55. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and Units and % Growth, France, 2019-2025 90 Figure 56. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Spain, 2019-2025 91 Figure 57. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, Spain, 2019-2025 92 Figure 58. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, Spain, 2019-2025 93 Figure 59. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Netherlands, 2019-2025 94 Figure 60. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, Netherlands, 2019-2025 95 Figure 61. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, Netherlands, 2019-2025 96 Figure 62. Chinese EV Market 97 Figure 63. Chinese Electric Car Market Shares, Dollars, 2018 98 Figure 64. Chinese Electric Car Market Shares, Dollars, 2018 and 2017 99 Figure 65. Chinese Electric Car Market Shares, Units, 2018 100 Figure 66. BYD Plug in Electric Car Sales in China 102 Figure 67. China Electric Vehicle Market Leaders 105 Figure 68. Electric Vehicle Market Shares China 106 Figure 69. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, China, 2019-2025 109 Figure 70. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, China, 2019-2025 110 Figure 71. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, China, 2019-2025 111 Figure 72. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, Japan, 2019-2025 112 Figure 73. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, Japan, 2019-2025 113 Figure 74. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, Japan, 2019-2025 114 Figure 75. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, Japan, 2019-2025 115 Figure 76. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars and % Growth, India, 2019-2025 116 Figure 77. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Units and % Growth, India, 2019-2025 117 Figure 78. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, India, 2019-2025 118 Figure 79. Personal Electric Automobile, Market and Market Forecast, Dollars, Units and % Growth, South Korea, 2019-2025 119 Figure 80. Activity worldwide for Full Phase-Out Of Diesel And Gasoline Engines: 122 Figure 81. Market Shares for Electric Batteries 124 Figure 82. Electric Vehicle Segment Market Forecasts, Dollars, Worldwide, 2019 - 2025 126 Figure 83. EV Market Growth Factors 127 Figure 84. Chinese Electric Vehicles 131 Figure 85. Made in China Electric Vehicles 132 Figure 86. Electric Car Quickest Acceleration 135 Figure 87. Most Efficient Electric Vehicles 136 Figure 88. Most Popular Electric Cars 136 Figure 89. Most Affordable Electric Cars 137 Figure 90. Best Price/Range ratio Electric Cars 137 Figure 91. Recently Added Electric Cars 138 Figure 92. EV Driver Information Center Information 141 Figure 93. EV Mobile App Features 142 Figure 94. BAIC EV Models 2013 - 2019 145 Figure 95. BAIC EC180 Car Sales 2018 148 Figure 96. BAIC Senova Car Sales 2018 149 Figure 97. Revenue of BYD in Billions of Yuan, 2009 to 2017 151 Figure 98. BYD Revenue Segments 152 Figure 99. SAIC General Motors Automotive / China Joint Ventures JVs Percent Ownership 161 Figure 100. Honda Clarity Electric Shaped for Airflow 162 Figure 101. Nissan Leaf Electric Vehicle Versions And Specs 165 Figure 102. Panasonic Sales by Segment, FY 2019 166 Figure 103. Tesla Revenue 172 Figure 104. Thunder Power EV 176 Figure 105. Toyota EV 177 Figure 106. Toyota Prius Prime EV Specifications 178 Figure 107. Toyota Prius Prime Hybrid Models 178 Figure 108. Volkswagen E-Golf 180 Figure 109. Volvo Electric Car 181 Figure 110. Personal Electric Vehicles 189
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