LTE in the Middle East and Africa: Contracts, Operator Reviews, Spectrum Strategies, Subscriptions, Pricing and Forecasts 2011-2015 Q’3 2011 Update

 Chapter 1 Introduction 8
1.1 Executive Summary 8
1.2 Acronyms 9

Chapter 2 LTE Technology and Market Overview 10
2.1 LTE Technology Overview 10
2.1.1 LTE Technical Performance Metrics 10
2.1.2 The Evolution to 4G and LTE Advanced 10
2.1.3 Integration with 2G, 3G & 3.5 G Deployments 11
2.2 LTE Market Overview 11
2.2.1 The Key Market Drivers for LTE Adoption 11
2.2.1.1 The Increasing Demand for Broadband Data Centric Applications 11
2.2.1.2 Mobile Market Saturation and Opportunities for Higher ARPUs 11
2.2.1.3 High Data Rates, Spectral Efficiency and OPEX Reduction 12
2.2.1.4 Narrow Competition from competing standards 12
2.2.1.5 Broadband Availability in Rural Areas 12
2.2.1.6 Commitments by Major Infrastructure and User Device Vendors 12
2.2.2 The Key Market Obstacles for LTE Adoption 13
2.2.2.1 Frequency Spectrum Availability, Congestion and Regulation 13
2.2.2.2 CAPEX Demands for Operators 13
2.2.2.3 Consumer Device Challenges 13
2.2.2.4 Pricing Strategies and Complexities in Roaming Agreements 13

Chapter 3 Worldwide LTE Industry Outlook 15
3.1 Worldwide LTE Subscription Projections 2011 - 2015 15
3.2 Q3’2011 Worldwide LTE Commercial Deployments and Subscriptions 15
3.3 Worldwide LTE Market Share 16
3.4 Worldwide LTE Pricing Opportunities & Strategies 18
3.4.1.1 Discounts to 3G Tariffs 18
3.4.1.2 Discounted Pricing in Rural Areas 18
3.4.1.3 Speed and Usage Capped Pricing 18
3.4.1.4 Free LTE Service Trials 18
3.4.1.5 Device Agnostic Pricing 18
3.5 Worldwide LTE Spectrum Strategies 19
3.5.1 700 MHz Band leading the Market in 2011 19
3.5.2 Varying Spectrum Adoption Strategies 19

Chapter 4 Middle East LTE Industry Outlook 20
4.1 LTE Market Outlook and Regional Subscriptions (2011 – 2015) 20
4.2 Middle East Commercial Deployments and LTE Commitments 21
4.2.1 The Saudi Market 21
4.2.1.1 Double-Digit YoY Growth and 11 Million Mobile Broadband Connections 22
4.2.1.2 STC (Saudi Telecom Company) Commercial LTE-2300 TDD Network Release 22
4.2.1.3 Zain (SMTC) Commercial LTE-1800 FDD Network Release 23
4.2.1.4 Mobiliy (Etihad Etisalat) Commercial LTE-2300 TDD Network Release 23
4.2.2 The UAE Market 24
4.2.2.1 Etisalat Commercial LTE-2600 FDD Network Release 24
4.2.2.2 Du Pre-Commercial LTE-1800 FDD Network 24
4.2.2.3 Abu Dhabi Police Trial 24
4.2.3 The Rest of the Middle East 25
4.2.3.1 Bahrain 25
4.2.3.1.1 Zain Bahrain Planned LTE Network 25
4.2.3.2 Israel 25
4.2.3.2.1 Cellcom Israel Planned LTE Network 25
4.2.3.3 Jordan 25
4.2.3.3.1 Zain Jordan Planned LTE Network 25
4.2.3.4 Kuwait 25
4.2.3.4.1 Zain Kuwait LTE Trial Network 25
4.2.3.4.2 Viva Kuwait LTE Trial Network 25
4.2.3.5 Oman 25
4.2.3.5.1 Omantel Trial and Planned TD-LTE Network 25
4.2.3.6 Qatar 25
4.2.3.6.1 Vodafone Qatar LTE Trial Network 25
4.2.3.6.2 Qtel LTE Trial Network 25
4.3 Middle East LTE Pricing Opportunities and Strategies 26
4.3.1 LTE Pricing Models in Saudi Arabia 26
4.3.1.1 STC’s Quicknet LTE Pricing Strategies 26
4.3.1.2 Zain SMTC LTE Pricing Strategies 26
4.3.1.3 Mobily’s LTE Pricing Strategies 26
4.3.2 LTE Pricing Models in the UAE 27
4.3.2.1 Etisalat’s LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.2.2 Du’s LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3 LTE Pricing Models in the Rest of the Middle East 27
4.3.3.1 Qatar: Qtel and Vodafone LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3.2 Bahrain: Zain Bahrain LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3.3 Jordan: Zain Jordan LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3.4 Oman: Omantel LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3.5 Kuwait: Zain and Viva LTE Pricing Strategies 27
4.3.3.6 Israel: Cellcom, Orange and Pelephone LTE Pricing Strategies 28
4.4 Middle East Spectrum Allocation & Strategies 29
4.4.1 Congestion of sub–1 GHz Spectrum 29
4.4.2 Increasing Demand for Spectrum Re-farming 29
4.4.3 1800 MHz Spectrum to Lead Middle Eastern LTE Deployments by 2015 29
4.4.4 UAE Spectrum Strategies 30
4.4.4.1 2.6 GHz and 1800 MHz Spectrum Bands Leading the Market 30
4.4.4.2 Increasing Demand for the 700 and 800 MHz Bands and Re-Farming Plans 30
4.4.5 Saudi Arabia Spectrum Strategies 31
4.4.5.1 2.3 GHz TDD and 1800 MHz FDD Spectrum Bands to Dominate the Market 31
4.4.5.2 Lack of Sub-1 GHz Spectrum 31
4.4.5.3 2.6 GHz Band Held by the Saudi Military 31
4.4.6 Spectrum Strategies and Regulatory Developments in the rest of the Middle East 32
4.4.6.1 Bahrain: A 2.6 GHz Market 32
4.4.6.2 Jordan: Lack of Operator Interest in 2.6 GHz band Licenses 32
4.4.6.3 Qatar: 800 MHz likely to be Regulated 32
4.4.6.4 Oman: 2.3 GHz & 2.6 GHz Opportunities 32
4.4.6.5 Kuwait: 1800 MHz & 2.6 GHz Opportunities 32
4.4.6.6 Israel: 2.6 GHz Opportunity 32
4.5 Middle East LTE Market Share and Subscriptions by Country 33

Chapter 5 Africa LTE Industry Outlook 34
5.1 Africa LTE Market Outlook and Regional Subscriptions (2011 – 2015) 34
5.2 Africa Commercial Deployments and LTE Commitments 35
5.2.1 The Egyptian Market 35
5.2.1.1 Etisalat Misr LTE Trial Network 35
5.2.1.2 Vodafone Egypt LTE Trial Network 35
5.2.1.3 Mobinil Egypt LTE Trial Network 35
5.2.2 The South Africa Market 35
5.2.2.1 Vodacom Pre-Commercial Release 35
5.2.2.2 MTN South Africa LTE Trial Network 35
5.2.2.3 Cell C LTE Trial Network 35
5.2.2.4 Telkom South Africa Planned LTE Network 35
5.2.2.5 Wireless Business Solutions-WBS Planned LTE Network 35
5.2.3 The Nigerian Market 36
5.2.3.1 Globacom Planned LTE Network 36
5.2.3.2 Starcomms Planned LTE Network 36
5.2.4 The Rest of Africa 36
5.2.4.1 Kenya 36
5.2.4.1.1 Safaricom Kenya LTE Trial Network 36
5.2.4.2 Uganda 36
5.2.4.2.1 Orange Uganda Planned LTE Trial 36
5.2.4.3 Angola 36
5.2.4.3.1 Unitel Angola LTE Trial Network 36
5.2.4.3.2 Movicel Angola LTE Trial Network 36
5.2.4.4 Tunisia 36
5.2.4.4.1 Tunisiana Planned LTE Network 36
5.2.4.5 Libya 36
5.2.4.5.1 Al Madar Planned LTE Network Deployment 36
5.3 Africa LTE Pricing Opportunities & Strategies 37
5.3.1 Egyptian Operator LTE Pricing Strategies 37
5.3.2 South African Operator LTE Pricing Strategies 37
5.3.3 Nigerian Operator LTE Pricing Strategies 37
5.3.4 LTE Pricing Strategies in the Rest of Africa 37
5.4 Africa Spectrum Allocation & Strategies 38
5.4.1 2.6 GHz FDD Spectrum to Lead the Market 38
5.4.2 Egypt: 2.1 GHz Market 38
5.4.3 South Africa: 800 MHz and 2.6 GHz Market 38
5.4.4 Nigeria: 2.1 GHz and 2.6 GHz Opportunities 38
5.4.5 Uganda: 2.3 GHz TDD Market 38
5.4.6 Angola: 2.1 GHz Market with Potential Re-Farming 38
5.4.7 Kenya: Potential 700 MHz and 2.6 GHz Market 38
5.4.8 Libya & Tunisia: Unclear Spectrum Policies 39
5.5 Africa LTE Market Share and Subscriptions by Country 40

Chapter 6 LTE Subscriptions, Spectrum and Market Share Forecasts by Region and Country 2011 - 2015 41
6.1 Worldwide LTE Subscriptions and Market Share 41
6.1.1 Worldwide LTE Subscriptions 41
6.1.1.1 Worldwide LTE Subscriptions by Spectrum Band 41
6.1.1.2 Worldwide LTE Subscriptions by Region 42
6.1.2 Worldwide LTE Market Share by Spectrum 43
6.1.3 Worldwide LTE Market Share by Top 10 Countries 44
6.2 Middle East LTE Subscriptions and Market Share 45
6.2.1 Middle East LTE Subscriptions 45
6.2.1.1 Middle East LTE Subscriptions by Spectrum Band 45
6.2.1.2 Middle East LTE Subscriptions by Country 45
6.2.2 Middle East LTE Market Share by Spectrum 46
6.2.3 Middle East LTE Market Share by Top 10 Countries 47
6.2.4 Middle East Country Level Subscriptions and Market Share 48
6.2.4.1 Bahrain 48
6.2.4.1.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 48
6.2.4.1.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 48
6.2.4.1.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 48
6.2.4.1.2.2 Zain Bahrain Planned LTE Network 48
6.2.4.2 Israel 49
6.2.4.2.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 49
6.2.4.2.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 50
6.2.4.2.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 50
6.2.4.2.2.2 Cellcom Planned LTE Network 50
6.2.4.3 Jordan 51
6.2.4.3.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 51
6.2.4.3.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 52
6.2.4.3.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 52
6.2.4.3.2.2 Zain Jordan Planned LTE Network 52
6.2.4.4 Kuwait 53
6.2.4.4.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 53
6.2.4.4.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 53
6.2.4.4.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 53
6.2.4.4.2.2 Zain Kuwait LTE Trial Network 53
6.2.4.4.2.3 Viva Kuwait LTE Trial Network 53
6.2.4.5 Oman 54
6.2.4.5.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 54
6.2.4.5.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 54
6.2.4.5.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 54
6.2.4.5.2.2 Omantel Planned TDD LTE Network 54
6.2.4.6 Qatar 55
6.2.4.6.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 55
6.2.4.6.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 55
6.2.4.6.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 55
6.2.4.6.2.2 Vodafone Qatar LTE Trial Network 55
6.2.4.6.2.3 Qtel Trial LTE Network and Planned Nationwide Deployment 55
6.2.4.7 Saudi Arabia 56
6.2.4.7.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 56
6.2.4.7.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 57
6.2.4.7.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 57
6.2.4.7.2.2 STC TDD-2300 LTE Commercial Network 57
6.2.4.7.2.3 Etisalat Mobily TDD-2300 LTE Commercial Network 57
6.2.4.7.2.4 Zain Saudi Arabia 1800 LTE Commercial Network 57
6.2.4.8 UAE 58
6.2.4.8.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 58
6.2.4.8.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 59
6.2.4.8.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 59
6.2.4.8.2.2 Etisalat 2600 Commercial LTE Network 59
6.2.4.8.2.3 Du Trial Pre-Commercial LTE Network 59
6.2.4.8.2.4 Abu Dhabi Police Trial LTE Network 59
6.3 Africa Subscriptions and Market Share 60
6.3.1 Africa LTE Subscriptions 60
6.3.2 Africa LTE Subscriptions by Spectrum Band 60
6.3.3 Africa LTE Subscriptions by Country 60
6.3.4 Africa LTE Market Share by Spectrum 61
6.3.5 Africa LTE Market Share by Top 10 Countries 62
6.3.6 Africa Country Level Subscriptions and Market Share 63
6.3.6.1 Angola 63
6.3.6.1.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 63
6.3.6.1.1.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 63
6.3.6.1.1.2 Unitel Angola Trial LTE Network 63
6.3.6.1.1.3 Movicel Angola Trial LTE Network 63
6.3.6.2 Egypt 64
6.3.6.2.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 64
6.3.6.2.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 65
6.3.6.2.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 65
6.3.6.2.2.2 Etisalat Misr Trial LTE Network 65
6.3.6.2.2.3 Vodafone Egypt Trial LTE Network 65
6.3.6.2.2.4 Mobinil Egypt Trial LTE Network 65
6.3.6.3 Kenya 66
6.3.6.3.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 66
6.3.6.3.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 67
6.3.6.3.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 67
6.3.6.3.2.2 Safaricom Kenya Trial LTE Network 67
6.3.6.4 Libya 68
6.3.6.4.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 68
6.3.6.4.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 68
6.3.6.4.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 68
6.3.6.4.2.2 Al Madar Planned LTE Network 68
6.3.6.5 Nigeria 69
6.3.6.5.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 69
6.3.6.5.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 70
6.3.6.5.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 70
6.3.6.5.2.2 Globacom Planned LTE Network 70
6.3.6.5.2.3 Starcomms Planned LTE Network 70
6.3.6.6 South Africa 71
6.3.6.6.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 71
6.3.6.6.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 72
6.3.6.6.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 72
6.3.6.6.2.2 Vodacom Pre-Commercial LTE Network 72
6.3.6.6.2.3 MTN South Africa Trial LTE Network 72
6.3.6.6.2.4 Cell C Trial LTE Network 72
6.3.6.6.2.5 Telkom South Africa Planned LTE Network 72
6.3.6.6.2.6 Wireless Business Solutions-WBS Planned LTE Network 72
6.3.6.7 Tunisia 73
6.3.6.7.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 73
6.3.6.7.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 73
6.3.6.7.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 73
6.3.6.7.2.2 Tunisiana Planned LTE Network 73
6.3.6.8 Uganda 74
6.3.6.8.1 Subscriptions and Market Share 74
6.3.6.8.2 Operator Deployments and Market Update 75
6.3.6.8.2.1 Spectrum Availability and Regulatory Updates 75
6.3.6.8.2.2 Orange Uganda Trial LTE Network 75

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